Refolk
October 28, 2026·9 min read

Sizing eBay's China Layoffs: 611 Engineers, Only 96 Visible in English

eBay China layoffs sized with Shanghai social-insurance data: 611 insured engineers, a 55 to 489 range, and why only 96 are searchable in English.

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Sizing eBay's China Layoffs: 611 Engineers, Only 96 Visible in English

If you hire software engineers in Shanghai, Singapore, or remote APAC, eBay's China cut is putting experienced engineers on the market, and nobody has said how many. eBay says about 9% globally, a 36Kr report says China could reach 80%, and eBay calls that speculation. Neither number tells you how many people you can actually call. Below I estimate the cut from public Chinese data and show where those candidates are actually looking.

What eBay actually confirmed about China

eBay has confirmed that China is part of its October 2026 restructuring. It has not said how deep the cut goes there. Everything beyond that is reporting, rumor, or inference, so keep those three separate.

What is on the record:

  • October 2026: eBay announced a cut of about 9% of staff. A spokesperson told Reuters it would eliminate around 1,000 jobs. RTÉ put it at around 1,100, based on 12,300 employees at the end of last year.
  • The 80% report: Workplace Bonus (职场Bonus), publishing via 36Kr, cited multiple independent sources saying the China layoff ratio may have hit 80%. It also reported that "many eBay employees have started to actively look for opportunities on social recruitment platforms."
  • eBay's response: China was included, the 80% figure is speculation, and eBay is not closing its China R&D center or leaving the Chinese market. It pointed to its annual auto parts seller conference, scheduled for December.

That last detail matters more than it looks. Keeping a seller conference on the calendar tells you eBay is protecting its cross-border seller business. It tells you nothing about the engineers.

How to check the 80% claim with social-insurance data

You can bound the 80% claim with China's public social-insurance headcounts. They put eBay's engineering entity at 611 insured staff in 2025. An 80% cut there is about 489 engineers. A cut matching eBay's global 9% is about 55.

A social-insurance headcount is the number of employees a Chinese company pays mandatory social insurance for. The figures are public and update once a year, which means they look backward: the 2026 number arrives next year.

Data surfaced by 36Kr shows eBay running three entities in Shanghai:

MetricFigureSource
Insured staff, eBay Software Engineering (Shanghai), 2025611Social-insurance data via 36Kr
All three Shanghai entities combined918 (mixes 2024 and 2025 data)36Kr, derived
80% of the engineering entity~489Calculated
9% of the engineering entity~55Calculated
Engineering-titled China profiles mentioning eBay96Refolk's index
Share of insured engineers visible on Western networks~16% (96/611)Calculated

The other two entities are Shanghai eBay Network Information Service (118 insured) and eBay Management (Shanghai) (189 employees, 2024). Don't apply the 80% to the full 918. Those two entities are the likelier home for seller-facing and admin staff, and eBay's December conference suggests that side is staying.

611
Insured staff at eBay Software Engineering (Shanghai) in 2025
This is the denominator any China layoff ratio should be measured against, not the 12,300 global headcount.

The 2026 social-insurance filing will settle the real figure next year. You can't wait that long, so plan around the range: 55 is the floor and 489 is the ceiling. Either way, it's a big pool of experienced Shanghai engineers hitting the market within a few months.

Why engineers, not sellers, are on the market

The evidence says the engineering center took the hit and the seller-facing staff stayed. For sourcers, that means software engineers, not cross-border sales or operations people.

The CCOE (eBay China Center of Excellence) is eBay's Shanghai engineering hub. The signals point straight at it:

  • Blind: one thread on eBay's layoffs includes the comment "all ccoe in china is gone."
  • eBay's own framing: it denied closing its China R&D center, which is a narrower claim than denying cuts to it.
  • The seller calendar: the December auto parts seller conference goes ahead, which protects the commercial side.
  • The pattern: eBay's February round included significant cuts to engineering, development, payments and finance roles in California, and some staff reported their jobs being moved overseas.

Compare that with the US side of the October round. eBay's San Jose WARN notice lists 229 positions, including 26 director-level roles and 48 with manager titles. That cut leans managerial. The China profiles I can see lean toward individual contributors, as covered below, so the two markets need different pitches.

Only 96 of 611 are searchable in English

In Refolk's index of professional profiles, only 96 in China carry an engineering title and mention eBay in the headline. That is about 16% of the 611 insured engineers. Roughly 84% of the entity's engineering staff won't show up in a LinkedIn-style search.

The 96 isn't a clean subset of the 611. Some may sit at other entities or have already left. It still works as a rough measure of visibility, and the gap has structural causes:

  • LinkedIn left. It closed its Chinese jobs app in August 2023. After that, a mainland engineer had little reason to keep an English profile current unless they worked with global teams.
  • BOSS Zhipin took over job search. Its average MAU passed 70 million for the first time in Q2 2026, at 70.2 million, up 10.4% year on year.
  • Chat beats profiles. BOSS Zhipin is chat-first. The sign that someone is looking shows up in a conversation, not on a profile page you can search.

So a Shanghai engineer who started job-hunting this week most likely opened BOSS Zhipin, Liepin or Maimai, the channels the 36Kr report refers to. They probably didn't update LinkedIn. If you only search LinkedIn, you get a small slice of the group, and an unrepresentative one.

In Shanghai, job-hunting happens in a chat window. A sourcer watching profile updates will miss five out of six of these engineers.

The visible 96 skew senior and open-source

The eBay China engineers you can find in English skew senior. In a sample of 25 from Refolk's index, 6 were Staff Software Engineers (24%) and one was an Apache Arrow committer.

The full sample:

  1. Software Engineer: 11
  2. Staff Software Engineer: 6
  3. Senior Software Engineer: 3
  4. Engineering Manager: 2
  5. Apache Arrow committer: 1

Of the 25, 21 list eBay as their current employer and 22 are in Shanghai, spread across Xuhui, Pudong, Minhang and Jiading. That's a clean, current list, unlike the broader China keyword match covered below.

Why the senior skew? Engineers who keep English profiles are usually the ones with open-source work or exposure to global teams. The CCOE has that history: Apache Kylin started there. A team like that produces committers, and committers are easy to find.

Singapore and remote-APAC employers want this group most. You can also reach it without a mainland business license. If your role needs someone with eBay engineering experience who works comfortably in English, the 96 are your shortlist, and their open-source work is how you find more.

Reaching the other 84% without a mainland business license

Most foreign employers can't post on China's domestic platforms directly. BOSS Zhipin, Liepin and Maimai expect a Chinese business license and a mainland mobile number before you can post anything, so you need an indirect route.

Routes that work:

  • Referrals from the visible 96. Staff engineers and EMs know who on their old teams is good and who is looking. One warm conversation with an ex-CCOE staff engineer can surface people you would never find in a search.
  • Open-source trails. Contributors to Apache projects with a Shanghai location and eBay-era commit history show up on GitHub even when they have no LinkedIn profile.
  • Blind. eBay's channel and the WorkingFromChina channel are where affected staff compare notes. They're also where the cut showed up first.
  • A local hiring partner. If you need people in mainland China specifically, a partner with a Chinese entity can post on BOSS Zhipin for you. Use that for volume hiring, not for your first senior hires.

The hard part is the mismatch. You have a live Shanghai or Singapore role and a strong pool that just came onto the market, but no direct way into the app where that pool is looking. The usual fallback is paying an intermediary on every hire.

Singapore and remote APAC: a smaller, cleaner pool

Singapore has fewer eBay-linked profiles than China, but a much larger share of them are current eBay engineers. In Refolk's index, a broad "eBay" headline match returns 1,541 profiles in China against 552 in Singapore, about 2.8x more in China.

Raw counts mislead here. Sample both markets and the quality flips:

  • China: only 9 of 25 sampled currently work at eBay. The broad match is noisy.
  • Singapore: 15 of 25 currently work at eBay, and "Software Engineer" is the top title.

So the two markets need different approaches. In Shanghai the problem is filtering: the broad search is noisy, and the useful profiles are in the engineering-titled 96. In Singapore, the pool is smaller and denser. If you have a Singapore role, that's also the natural relocation pitch for Shanghai engineers who already work in English on global teams.

Timing: cuts run through March 2027

eBay expects $130M to $150M in restructuring charges, mostly booked from October to December 2026, with cuts finished by the end of March 2027. Exits will come in waves, not on one date.

That changes how you should run the search:

  1. Start now with the visible senior group. Staff engineers with open-source records are the easiest to reach and the likeliest to be hired early.
  2. Re-run the search in January. If cuts continue into Q1, a second group will reach the market after the 2026 charges are booked.
  3. Watch Blind, not the press. One Blind user noted multiple posts about layoffs going back 3 to 4 weeks. Sourcers with Blind alerts could have started outreach before the story hit the press.

This is eBay's fourth round of cuts since 2023, so "post-pandemic overhiring" doesn't explain it. Repeated rounds, jobs moving overseas in February, and a CCOE that Blind users call gone point to a deliberate reshaping of where eBay does engineering. Plan for a steady supply of candidates over the next two quarters.

FAQ

How many engineers did eBay China lay off in October 2026?

eBay hasn't published a China figure. Public social-insurance data shows 611 insured staff at eBay Software Engineering (Shanghai) in 2025. If the reported 80% ratio holds, that's about 489 people. If China tracks the global 9% cut, it's about 55. The 2026 social-insurance filing, due next year, will give the definitive number.

Is eBay closing its Shanghai R&D center?

eBay says no. It confirmed that China was part of the global restructuring but denied closing its China R&D center or leaving the Chinese market, and it pointed to a December seller conference. Blind posts say the CCOE engineering group was cut heavily, so expect engineers on the market even though the center formally stays open.

Can a foreign company post jobs on BOSS Zhipin?

Not directly in most cases. BOSS Zhipin, Liepin and Maimai expect a Chinese business license and a mainland mobile number before you can post. Foreign employers usually work through a local partner, or skip job posts and source directly through referrals, GitHub, and English-language profiles.

What is eBay CCOE?

CCOE is the eBay China Center of Excellence, eBay's Shanghai engineering hub. Apache Kylin started there. In the October 2026 cuts, Blind posts point to the CCOE as the hardest-hit part of eBay China.

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